How to Make Better Decisions: Recognize Uncertainty

It’s a complex world, and we are constantly making decisions.  Just imagine the number of decisions we make about breakfast:  How big a breakfast should I have?  Should I have coffee?  If so, how much?  Should I have toast?  Should I use butter?  Should I have one piece or two?  Should I cut the toast?  If so, should they be cut into rectangles or triangles?  Should I keep the crust? Should I have juice?  Should it be apple juice or orange juice?  How about milk?  I haven’t even gotten to the pancakes, waffles, syrup, sausage, cereal, bacon… (mmm, bacon…)

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And these aren’t the really important ones!  How do we know we’re making good decisions, and can we make better ones?